October 1, 2017 – Just sit tight

Sorry if you missed my mid-month rant/ruminations.  I’m working on my Family History and writing a book.  More on that later.

Anyway, the charts for this month are telling me to stay in, make no changes, and just sit tight.  It was a great month, and my portfolio made some nice gains.  Too bad every month isn’t like this one.

Here are the charts for the Basic timing model:

Note that RWR has been dancing around its 10-month, 40-week, moving average for several months.  It took a bit of a dive this month, but came up slightly last week.  So, I’ll hang on to it since I like getting the dividends. (Sorry, Meb).

Here are the rest of the charts:

That’s all for this month… enjoy the ride while it lasts!

~B-

 

 

Advertisements

September 1, 2017 – Just Sittin’

disclaimer

It’s been a gentle roller coaster ride this past month, and now things are looking up, again.  Since I use this Meb Faber Quant method (well, basically) only in my IRA account, and I’m fully invested, I won’t be buying the IEF, TLT or TIP bonds, which all ticked up (quite a bit) this month.  Oh well…  I’m still happy with the way things are going, and I’m holding IEF in another account, for dividends.

Before we get too complacent, though, September has traditionally been a crummy month for stocks, so we’ll just have to see how things are by the 30th.  It will be on a weekend, which will allow us time to place any trades we might need to make at that time.

Without further ado, here are the charts:

BASIC
Basic ETFs, based on Meb’s Timing Model
ALL
more ETFs that I use this method on
GLD-USO-EMB-VNQI-TIP
…and even more!! 🙂

So, that’s it for this month… Have a great holiday weekend, USA, and remember what Labor Day is for — to honor the workers that built our country.

~B-

August 1, 2017 — Everything’s looking UP

Well, who’da thunk?  It’s time to buy in to almost EVERYTHING, except TLT.  I had to sell that this morning.  Dividends are rolling in, since I’m practically fully invested, and net worth is sitting pretty.

How long will it last?  What goes up, must come down eventually.  Are you ready for that?  Just keepin’ it real…

disclaimer

And, here are the charts for this month: (I hope by now you know that you can click on them for a bigger, clearer, view)

BASIC

 

ALL

 

GLD-USO-EMB-VNQI

As you can see, TLT dipped below the 10 month moving average.  DBC, GLD, and RWR all popped up above it, slightly, so buy those…  I had to sell TLT before I had any cash to buy DBC, GLD, and RWR.  LOL!

I have to say, I’m happy to see RWR back in the game, as it pays some nice dividends.  If it hangs on through September, we’ll see some nice $$$ coming in from that.

Enjoy the ride, everyone, but watch out for when our “roller coaster” takes a dive.  Always be ready for that.

~B-

July 2, 2017

disclaimer

I have to say, I love it when the month ends on a Friday, like June did this time.  It gives me the whole weekend to go through my research, put the graphs together, and post my blog note.  I also get to keep track of my net worth, pay bills, and do all the responsible adult stuff in one weekend.  So, here’s what I’m going to do about my investments now:

IEF dipped below its 10-month moving average line, so I’m selling it, and holding on to everything else in the “Basic” Timing Model, or staying out, as indicated.  RWR popped up almost to the line, but since the MACD is still negative, I’m going to stay out of it, and DBC. Here’s the chart I’m following for the Basic Timing Model.

BASIC

And, here are the two charts for all the rest of my investments.  Looks like it might be time to buy TLT, and sell TIP and GLD. Go figure…

all.jpgGLD-USO-EMB-VNQI-TIP

Also, I’m buying a few more shares of T and VZ, since they’ve dipped below what I originally paid for them, but still are maintaining their dividends.

So, there you have it.  The US markets will be open for a half day tomorrow, so you can take care of business and have a happy and safe 4th of July for US citizens and residents. I plan to. 🙂

‘Til next month, everyone,

~B-

 

 

June 1, 2017 — Buy IEF

disclaimer

Just buy some IEF.  That’s all you need to do this month if you’re following the Meb Faber timing model method of trading.  Ho-hum.

Here are the charts I use from BigCharts.com for the basic model:

Here are the charts I use for the rest of what I invest in:

 

Great.  Now, go enjoy that wonderful June warmth and sunshine.  (Unless, of course, you live around Seattle… then you’re getting rained on, like me.

‘Til next month,

~B-

May 1, 2017 — Sell DBC

 

 

Hello all my investing fans!  It’s another lazy, easy end of month for trading.  DBC slipped below its 10 month moving average, so we sell it, and just hang on to everything else.  April was a great month for dividends, too, as my REITs and several ETFs helped me rake them in.

Here’s how the basic Timing Model looked on Big Charts at April 28 close:

 

Hopefully, you can click on this chart, and see that DBC indeed dropped.

Next, here are the other ETFs that I track, on the next two charts:

So, there you have it…

If you need something interesting to listen to while crocheting, doing your favorite craft, working in your workshop, whatever, I highly recommend Meb Faber’s podcasts.  The latest one features Steve Sjuggerud, who says this bull market isn’t over yet!!!  Haha, that’s cool… we’ll see…

‘Til next month…

~B-

April 1, 2017 — Buy VNQI, Sell RWR

 

 

No foolin’… foreign real estate seems to be doing better at the moment than domestic real estate.  Whatever… at least, I got a nice dividend from RWR before I had to ditch them.

So, here’s our basic investment charts…  as you can see, RWR has dipped below our 10- month moving average line.BASIC

Here’s the rest of our watch list… hold ’em all (stay out of TLT)

ALL

And here’s the list of “newbies”… VNQI, foreign real estate, has finally peeked over the 10 month moving average.

GLD-USO-EMB-VNQI

Yep, looks like the foreign stuff is doing OK.  EFA, EEM, EMB (foreign bonds), and VNQI (foreign real estate) are all over our MA line.

Unfortunately, I can only put in an order for a limited amount of shares for VNQI.  I  have to wait until Monday for my RWR sale to go through.   Ugh! IRA rules…  I just hope I remember to log on Monday to finish up my investment.

Now, back to crocheting, and guitar.  More on that later… my fingers hurt.

~B-