August 1, 2017 — Everything’s looking UP

Well, who’da thunk?  It’s time to buy in to almost EVERYTHING, except TLT.  I had to sell that this morning.  Dividends are rolling in, since I’m practically fully invested, and net worth is sitting pretty.

How long will it last?  What goes up, must come down eventually.  Are you ready for that?  Just keepin’ it real…

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And, here are the charts for this month: (I hope by now you know that you can click on them for a bigger, clearer, view)

BASIC

 

ALL

 

GLD-USO-EMB-VNQI

As you can see, TLT dipped below the 10 month moving average.  DBC, GLD, and RWR all popped up above it, slightly, so buy those…  I had to sell TLT before I had any cash to buy DBC, GLD, and RWR.  LOL!

I have to say, I’m happy to see RWR back in the game, as it pays some nice dividends.  If it hangs on through September, we’ll see some nice $$$ coming in from that.

Enjoy the ride, everyone, but watch out for when our “roller coaster” takes a dive.  Always be ready for that.

~B-

July 2, 2017

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I have to say, I love it when the month ends on a Friday, like June did this time.  It gives me the whole weekend to go through my research, put the graphs together, and post my blog note.  I also get to keep track of my net worth, pay bills, and do all the responsible adult stuff in one weekend.  So, here’s what I’m going to do about my investments now:

IEF dipped below its 10-month moving average line, so I’m selling it, and holding on to everything else in the “Basic” Timing Model, or staying out, as indicated.  RWR popped up almost to the line, but since the MACD is still negative, I’m going to stay out of it, and DBC. Here’s the chart I’m following for the Basic Timing Model.

BASIC

And, here are the two charts for all the rest of my investments.  Looks like it might be time to buy TLT, and sell TIP and GLD. Go figure…

all.jpgGLD-USO-EMB-VNQI-TIP

Also, I’m buying a few more shares of T and VZ, since they’ve dipped below what I originally paid for them, but still are maintaining their dividends.

So, there you have it.  The US markets will be open for a half day tomorrow, so you can take care of business and have a happy and safe 4th of July for US citizens and residents. I plan to. 🙂

‘Til next month, everyone,

~B-

 

 

June 1, 2017 — Buy IEF

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Just buy some IEF.  That’s all you need to do this month if you’re following the Meb Faber timing model method of trading.  Ho-hum.

Here are the charts I use from BigCharts.com for the basic model:

Here are the charts I use for the rest of what I invest in:

 

Great.  Now, go enjoy that wonderful June warmth and sunshine.  (Unless, of course, you live around Seattle… then you’re getting rained on, like me.

‘Til next month,

~B-

May 1, 2017 — Sell DBC

 

 

Hello all my investing fans!  It’s another lazy, easy end of month for trading.  DBC slipped below its 10 month moving average, so we sell it, and just hang on to everything else.  April was a great month for dividends, too, as my REITs and several ETFs helped me rake them in.

Here’s how the basic Timing Model looked on Big Charts at April 28 close:

 

Hopefully, you can click on this chart, and see that DBC indeed dropped.

Next, here are the other ETFs that I track, on the next two charts:

So, there you have it…

If you need something interesting to listen to while crocheting, doing your favorite craft, working in your workshop, whatever, I highly recommend Meb Faber’s podcasts.  The latest one features Steve Sjuggerud, who says this bull market isn’t over yet!!!  Haha, that’s cool… we’ll see…

‘Til next month…

~B-

April 1, 2017 — Buy VNQI, Sell RWR

 

 

No foolin’… foreign real estate seems to be doing better at the moment than domestic real estate.  Whatever… at least, I got a nice dividend from RWR before I had to ditch them.

So, here’s our basic investment charts…  as you can see, RWR has dipped below our 10- month moving average line.BASIC

Here’s the rest of our watch list… hold ’em all (stay out of TLT)

ALL

And here’s the list of “newbies”… VNQI, foreign real estate, has finally peeked over the 10 month moving average.

GLD-USO-EMB-VNQI

Yep, looks like the foreign stuff is doing OK.  EFA, EEM, EMB (foreign bonds), and VNQI (foreign real estate) are all over our MA line.

Unfortunately, I can only put in an order for a limited amount of shares for VNQI.  I  have to wait until Monday for my RWR sale to go through.   Ugh! IRA rules…  I just hope I remember to log on Monday to finish up my investment.

Now, back to crocheting, and guitar.  More on that later… my fingers hurt.

~B-

March 1, 2017 — Things are Poppin’ – Buy RWR, GLD, TIP

My goodness!  I woke up this morning, turned on my computer, and saw several indices were hitting new records.  However, after about 17 years of (trying to) trade, I’ve definitely learned that what goes up must come down.  So, be ready, stick to your rules, and good luck.

Here’s the basic chart:basic

As you can see, We’re all in, except for IEF.  RWR finally poked its head over the moving average line, so it’s a buy.

Here are some more that I buy and watch:

all

All in, except for TLT. Like, who needs long term bonds now?  Ha!

And, finally, a few extras:

gld-uso-emb

GLD and EMB decided to poke their heads above water, too, so I bought small amounts of each of them, as well as TIP (chart not shown).

Just on a side note, I wrote my investment guru, Meb Faber. about how to manage dividends vs. shareholder yield when you are at the point in your life when you need them for income.  He asserts that dividends + shareholder yield (which happens when a company buys back its stock increasing its value) is superior since it adds value to your portfolio.  What I don’t understand is, you have to sell shares of a stock or ETF if you’re not investing for dividends alone, and frankly the dividend ratio on shareholder yield stocks is pretty crummy.  So, you’d have to sell some shares of that stock or ETF, and then you lose that dividend the next time it pays out.  He didn’t answer my question, but I did get a rather long answer explaining why shareholder yield is superior.  Well, fine, if you’re in the accumulation stage, but when you want income, you want reliable dividends.  Oh well… enough of my rant.  Maybe when he gets to retirement age, and is drawing on his portfolio, he’ll understand what I mean.

Anyway, take care, and good luck until next time.  If the market has to go down this month, or even tomorrow, let’s hope for a soft landing…

~B-

February 1, 2017 — Buy Foreign

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Hello, investing fans and those who would like to join me in retirement!!  It looks like the foreign ETFs, (EFA, EEM, and a new member of our investing watch list, EMB) ticked up and over our 200 day/40 week/10 month moving average, and are prime for buying.  No sells this time, just hold on to everything else (or stay out, if applicable).

Here are the charts from Big Charts for the basic timing model (Meb Faber style):

basic

Here are the charts for other ETFs on my watch list:

all

Gotta love all the “up” action, don’t you?  Last but not least, here are charts for USO, GLD, and EMB (Emerging Markets Bonds).  Meb says we should all go more global, so I am… slowly.

gld-uso-emb

Since EMB seems to touching the line, and seems neutral on the Big Charts chart, I decided to verify it with stockcharts.com, and saw that it was above the 40-week moving average (red line) at end of day January 31, 2017.

emb-stockcharts

I think I’ll use this weekly chart on Stockcharts.com when things seem “on the line”, neutral, and I need another verification to make a decision.

So, that’s it for this month.  I’ll hopefully post a photo soon of my latest crocheting project, a blanket for the living room couch.  Until then… happy investing!